Watching The Gulf

By now the secrets out of the bag, there is a system deep in the Gulf of Mexico that has a chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next 96 hours. There are many things that need to be stressed . The first is , this is not likely to become a hurricane. Upper level winds racing from SW to NE across the central gulf providing high shear so the environment is not one that favors rappid development. Secondly , the ultimate track of the system isn’t the end all be all for rain across the southeast. There will be a large moisture plume to the east of the center that will move NE out of the gulf increasing rain chances pretty much region wide over the coming 4 days. So don’t pay too much attention to the track and the fancy track maps showing the possible outcomes.

Flooding is going to be a big concern as many areas across the southeast have received a lot of rain over the last few weeks. Inland winds should not be a big a issue outside of any possible thunderstorms related to the potential tropical system.

There are still many questions moving forward and we will have many updates in the coming days.

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