Thursday’s Severe Weather Threat

An extremely active severe weather day is shaping up for tomorrow across the southeast . In fact, the threat begins today across parts of Louisiana and Arkansas and slowly slides east tomorrow during the day then impacts the eastern areas of the southeast during the early morning hours on Friday .Here is the latest SPC day 2 outlook

All modes of severe weather will be possible including tornadoes , large hail and damaging winds . The highest tornado risk will be over northern Mississippi and western Tennessee.  Thanks to fairly steep lapse rates and cold air aloft large hail will yet again be common with the storms

One thing we will be watching early tomorrow morning is a possible complex of thunderstorms along the gulf coast which could act to limit moisture return across northern Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. IF that complex does cut the return flow off, the severe threat would be limited somewhat . If it’s not there or further off the coast the severe threat will be higher as good moisture return would help fuel the storms. I circled the possible complex on the image below

Again, tomorrow looks like a very busy day across the southeast. Much will depend on the possible storms across the gulf coast . If moisture return is plentiful tornadoes , hail and damaging winds will all be possible. We will have frequent updates over the next 24 hours

 

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