Tropical Rains Ahead

Our tropical system in the gulf still hasn’t reached tropical storm category yet. To be honest , it’s irrelevant if it receives a name or not . The biggest threat from this system has been and will continue to be flooding. We currently have a stalled front that’s laying across the southeast. This front will actually help keep the deep moisture confined to south today along the gulf coast. I drew a blue line to represent the front

It won’t be until the front starts moving that the deep tropical moisture will be allowed to move to the north. The front should slowly start the northward movement early tomorrow. It appears the system will make landfall around the Texas/ Louisiana state line late tomorrow night or early Thursday morning .

Areas to the east of the center will experience very heavy rain. It’s not going to rain constantly but several rounds of heavy rain are possible. Many locations in the southeast have received copious amounts of rain over the last few weeks. With an additional 3-5 inches possible in the coming days flooding is a big concern

Along with the flooding threat there will be a small tornado threat across Mississippi,Alabama and western Georgia Thursday. A brief spin up tornado will be possible across the above mentioned areas . Inland winds will not be a huge issue across Mississippi, Alabama , Georgia , Tennessee and the Carolinas. However there could be some brief gusty winds associated with any thunderstorms.

The system will slowly move to the NE on Friday and Saturday and will become absorbed by the incoming front. This will keep rain chances fairly high through Sunday across a large part of the southeast.

The big message this morning is heavy rain is likely at times across the southeast over the next 3-5 days. We will have frequent updates along the way

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